Where does the network data come from?
We pull live block height, network hashrate, and BTC price from blockchain.info on every page load. Data is never cached — you always see the current state of the network.
How is the probability calculated?
The chance of mining a block in a given period is: your hashrate ÷ network hashrate × blocks in that period. For example, the Bitcoin network mines ~144 blocks per day (one every ~10 minutes), so your daily probability is (your TH/s / network TH/s) × 144.
This is a statistical probability, not a guarantee. You could get lucky and mine a block on your first attempt, or go years without one.
What is solo mining?
Solo mining means you point your hardware directly at the Bitcoin network and attempt to find blocks yourself, keeping the full 3.125 BTC block reward if you succeed. The alternative is pool mining, where you share rewards with thousands of other miners in proportion to your contributed hashrate.
Is solo mining worth it?
At the hobby level (Bitaxe, NerdMiner), solo mining is essentially a lottery ticket — the odds are tiny but the reward is life-changing. At the industrial scale (>10 PH/s), it can be a viable strategy. For most home miners with a single ASIC, pool mining provides steadier returns.
Where do the product links go?
Product links go to Amazon.com. We receive a commission for purchases made through these links as part of the Amazon Associates Program. This does not affect the price you pay.
Is this an ad?
The product listings and links on this site are affiliate links to Amazon. We earn a small commission if you purchase through them. The calculator and network data are provided as a free service with no strings attached.
Who runs this site?
BitcoinSoloChance.net is a production of Darkspire Media, LLC.